I hadn’t seen this post before, but to me it sounds like Beckstead’s arguments are very much in line with the idea of attractor states, rather than deviating from it. A path-dependent trajectory change is roughly the same as moving from one attractor state to another, if I’ve understood correctly.
The argument he is making is that extinction / existential risks are not the only form of attractor state, which I agree with.
Whoops, yeah, having just re-skimmed the post, I now think that your comment is a more accurate portrayal of Beckstead’s
post than mine was. Here’s a key quote from that post:
Bostrom does have arguments that speeding up development and providing proximate benefits are not as important, in themselves, as reducing existential risk. And these arguments, I believe, have some plausibility. Since we don’t have an argument that reducing existential risk is better than trying to create other positive [path dependent] trajectory changes and an existential catastrophe is one type of [path dependent] trajectory change, it seems more reasonable for defenders of the astronomical waste argument to focus on [path dependent] trajectory changes in general.
I hadn’t seen this post before, but to me it sounds like Beckstead’s arguments are very much in line with the idea of attractor states, rather than deviating from it. A path-dependent trajectory change is roughly the same as moving from one attractor state to another, if I’ve understood correctly.
The argument he is making is that extinction / existential risks are not the only form of attractor state, which I agree with.
Whoops, yeah, having just re-skimmed the post, I now think that your comment is a more accurate portrayal of Beckstead’s post than mine was. Here’s a key quote from that post: