I think that depends a lot on framing. E.g. if this is just a prediction of future events, it sounds less objectionable to other moral systems imo b/c it’s not making any moral claims (perhaps some by implication, as this forum leans utilitarian)
In the case of making predictions, I’d strongly bias to say things I think are true even if they end up being inconvenient, if they are action relevant (most controversial topics are not action relevant, so I think people should avoid them). But this might be important for how to weigh different risks against each other! Perhaps I’m decoupling too much tho
Aside: I don’t necessarily think the post’s claim is true, because I think certain other things are made worse by events like this which contributes to long-run xrisk. I’m very uncertain tho, so seems worth thinking about, though maybe not in a semi-public forum
I think that depends a lot on framing. E.g. if this is just a prediction of future events, it sounds less objectionable to other moral systems imo b/c it’s not making any moral claims (perhaps some by implication, as this forum leans utilitarian)
In the case of making predictions, I’d strongly bias to say things I think are true even if they end up being inconvenient, if they are action relevant (most controversial topics are not action relevant, so I think people should avoid them). But this might be important for how to weigh different risks against each other! Perhaps I’m decoupling too much tho
Aside: I don’t necessarily think the post’s claim is true, because I think certain other things are made worse by events like this which contributes to long-run xrisk. I’m very uncertain tho, so seems worth thinking about, though maybe not in a semi-public forum