The Scaling SeriesToby_Ord30 Jan 2026 8:11 UTCToby Ord analyses why AI scaling costs are exploding while returns diminish, and what that means for the future.The Scaling Series Discussion Thread: with Toby OrdToby Tremlett🔹2 Feb 2026 8:44 UTC72 points17 comments1 min readEA linkThe Scaling ParadoxToby_Ord30 Jan 2026 13:34 UTC49 points1 comment8 min readEA link(www.tobyord.com)Inference Scaling and the Log-x ChartToby_Ord2 Feb 2026 8:43 UTC28 points2 comments9 min readEA link(www.tobyord.com)Inference Scaling Reshapes AI GovernanceToby_Ord2 Feb 2026 8:44 UTC38 points2 comments16 min readEA link(www.tobyord.com)Is there a Half-Life for the Success Rates of AI Agents?Toby_Ord2 Feb 2026 8:44 UTC28 points1 comment10 min readEA link(www.tobyord.com)The Extreme Inefficiency of RL for Frontier ModelsToby_Ord2 Feb 2026 8:44 UTC24 points0 comments8 min readEA link(www.tobyord.com)Evidence that Recent AI Gains are Mostly from Inference-ScalingToby_Ord2 Feb 2026 8:45 UTC22 points2 comments5 min readEA link(www.tobyord.com)How Well Does RL Scale?Toby_Ord22 Oct 2025 13:16 UTC171 points52 comments7 min readEA link(www.tobyord.com)Are the Costs of AI Agents Also Rising Exponentially?Toby_Ord2 Feb 2026 8:45 UTC79 points10 comments8 min readEA link(www.tobyord.com)