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Es­ti­mate elic­i­ta­tion and crowdsourcing

TagLast edit: 28 Nov 2022 12:04 UTC by brook

Estimate elicitation and crowdsourcing, or eliciting estimates from other people, can be helpful for more accurate estimation.

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fermi estimate | cause prioritization | expected value | forecasting | impact assessment | model uncertainty | prediction markets | value of information | manifold markets | metaculus

Pro­ject: A web plat­form for crowd­sourc­ing im­pact es­ti­mates of in­ter­ven­tions.

Max Clarke22 Apr 2022 6:54 UTC
41 points
18 comments5 min readEA link

Straight­for­wardly elic­it­ing prob­a­bil­ities from GPT-3

NunoSempere9 Feb 2023 19:25 UTC
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An ex­per­i­ment elic­it­ing rel­a­tive es­ti­mates for Open Philan­thropy’s 2018 AI safety grants

NunoSempere12 Sep 2022 11:19 UTC
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[Linkpost] Vague Ver­biage in Forecasting

trevor122 Mar 2024 18:05 UTC
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0 comments1 min readEA link
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