FWIW, I would totally want to openly do a postmortem. once the bankruptcy case is over, i’ll be pretty happy to publicly say what i knew at various points of time. but i’m currently holding back for legal reasons, and instead discuss it (as you said) “behind closed doors”. (Which is frustrating for everyone who would like to have transparent public discussion, sorry about that. it’ is also really frustrating for me!)
I think the truth is closest to “we had a bunch of hints that we failed to assemble”
Based on conversations with people at the time, it seems plausible to me that this is true. However, this is not as serious a concern as you might think: IMHO it was reasonable to consider both SBF and Tara highly untrustworthy at the time. Will trusted SBF too much, but his skepticism of Tara seems justified. Tara’s hedge fund suffered a major loss later, and I heard she showed low integrity in communicating with stakeholders about the loss.
Relevant quote from the article: