The problem with all wefare estimates is their inherent imprecision, as well as the oversight that in any altruistic project—such as that of the EA community—the key factor is the motivation of the altruistic agents. Calculating any objectively altruistic action means ignoring the subjective element of the altruistic act.
The only effective calculation is one that prioritizes the motivation of the altruistic agents. Appealing to mere altruistic principles based on a cognitive understanding is insufficient. Hence the twenty-year failure of the EA community in its unsuccessful attempt to rationalize altruism. Altruism cannot be rationalized outside of a cultural conception of the altruistic agent’s motivation.
One contribution in this regard is that altruism can be cultivated as a necessary element within the development of a culture of benevolence, which might be sufficiently motivating to generate altruistic acts consistent with conventional welfare estimates.
But this is just one contribution among many others that could be made.
It’s obvious that many of the motivations behind people investing their effort in generating economic value—money—have nothing to do with receiving economic goods in return—money.
Encouraging altruistic motivation consists of generating emotional benefits in exchange for economic ones. Apparently, the current EA movement seems content with the proven emotional gratification that altruistic donation provides to the donor. This gratification certainly exists… but it seems clear that, at this point, it is entirely insufficient and, therefore, dooms the entire movement to failure.
Personally, I doubt that perfecting the reputational model (“indirect reciprocity”) using technology is the solution to encouraging altruism. My doubt stems from the fact that, psychologically, the donor will be conditioned by their economic self-interest and won’t exercise their prosocial behavioral skills (such as empathy, compassion, affection, and care) as much. But, in any case, hvoyander has made a creative contribution regarding the fundamental problem of altruism… which is how to generate more altruists (something very rare to see in this forum).
In my opinion, the best way to generate more altruists is to connect the phenomenon of economic altruism with the development of the psychological qualities most characteristic of prosocial affective behavior, which can be strongly motivating for many temperaments. A subculture of benevolence can be attractive to people interested in strengthening their affective and extremely trusting relationships within a context of enlightened rationality. We need more “saints” and fewer “ordinary people.” More ethics of virtue and less utilitarianism.
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/uaGR6yhpEmdtgncuZ/altruism-and-minority-influence
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/7tjbCRCb6FSdCKgyP/leo-tolstoy-s-philosophy-altruism-and-non-violence