Kenan Schaefkofer

• Kenan Schaefkofer 2 Feb 2023 1:39 UTC

  3 points

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: David Rhys Bernard’s comment on: More Is Prob­a­bly More—Fore­cast­ing Ac­cu­racy and Num­ber of Fore­cast­ers on Metaculus

  Predictors on Metaculus seeing the prior prediction history seems like a plausible confounder to me, but I’m not sure it would change the result.