Metaculus

Karma: 279

Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead

Benjamin Wilson 🔸28 Oct 2025 5:13 UTC

55 points

0 comments24 min readEA link

(www.metaculus.com)

Q1 AI Benchmarking Results: Human Pros Crush Bots

Benjamin Wilson 🔸28 Jun 2025 17:22 UTC

16 points

0 comments22 min readEA link

(www.metaculus.com)

Conference Report: Threshold 2030 - Modeling AI Economic Futures

Deric Cheng24 Feb 2025 18:57 UTC

24 points

0 comments10 min readEA link

(www.convergenceanalysis.org)

Metaculus Q4 AI Benchmarking: Bots Are Closing The Gap

Molly Hickman19 Feb 2025 22:46 UTC

42 points

8 comments13 min readEA link

Announcing Indexes: Big Questions, Quantified

Molly Hickman27 Jan 2025 17:42 UTC

44 points

1 comment3 min readEA link

Annual AGI Benchmarking Event

Metaculus26 Aug 2022 21:31 UTC

20 points

2 comments2 min readEA link

(www.metaculus.com)

Predicting Polygenic Selection for IQ

Metaculus28 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC

41 points

4 comments20 min readEA link

Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Forecasting Nuclear Risk in 2022

Metaculus24 Mar 2022 21:03 UTC

23 points

1 comment12 min readEA link

Reducing Nuclear Risk Through Improved US-China Relations

Metaculus21 Mar 2022 11:50 UTC

31 points

19 comments5 min readEA link

900+ Forecasters on Whether Russia Will Invade Ukraine

Metaculus19 Feb 2022 13:29 UTC

51 points

0 comments4 min readEA link

(metaculus.medium.com)