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Metaculus

Karma: 158

An­nual AGI Bench­mark­ing Event

Metaculus26 Aug 2022 21:31 UTC
20 points
2 comments2 min readEA link
(www.metaculus.com)

Pre­dict­ing Poly­genic Selec­tion for IQ

Metaculus28 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC
41 points
4 comments20 min readEA link

Rus­sia-Ukraine Con­flict: Fore­cast­ing Nu­clear Risk in 2022

Metaculus24 Mar 2022 21:03 UTC
23 points
1 comment12 min readEA link

Re­duc­ing Nu­clear Risk Through Im­proved US-China Relations

Metaculus21 Mar 2022 11:50 UTC
31 points
19 comments5 min readEA link

900+ Fore­cast­ers on Whether Rus­sia Will In­vade Ukraine

Metaculus19 Feb 2022 13:29 UTC
51 points
0 comments4 min readEA link
(metaculus.medium.com)