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Metaculus

Karma: 177

An­nounc­ing In­dexes: Big Ques­tions, Quantified

Molly HickmanJan 27, 2025, 5:42 PM
21 points
1 comment3 min readEA link

An­nual AGI Bench­mark­ing Event

MetaculusAug 26, 2022, 9:31 PM
20 points
2 comments2 min readEA link
(www.metaculus.com)

Pre­dict­ing Poly­genic Selec­tion for IQ

MetaculusMar 28, 2022, 6:00 PM
41 points
4 comments20 min readEA link

Rus­sia-Ukraine Con­flict: Fore­cast­ing Nu­clear Risk in 2022

MetaculusMar 24, 2022, 9:03 PM
23 points
1 comment12 min readEA link

Re­duc­ing Nu­clear Risk Through Im­proved US-China Relations

MetaculusMar 21, 2022, 11:50 AM
31 points
19 comments5 min readEA link

900+ Fore­cast­ers on Whether Rus­sia Will In­vade Ukraine

MetaculusFeb 19, 2022, 1:29 PM
51 points
0 comments4 min readEA link
(metaculus.medium.com)