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IIRC studies show itâs easier to motivate people to give more than to shift existing donations.
How sure are you are right and the other EA (who has also likely thought carefully about their donations) is wrong, though?
Iâm much more confident that I will increase the impact of someoneâs donation /â spending if they are not in EA, rather than being too convinced of my own opinion and causing harm (by negative side effects, opportunity costs or lowering the value of their donation).
Disclaimer: Just skimmed the paper.
Their definition of âself-replicationâ seems to be just to copy the model weights to another place and start it on an open portâno unexpected capability.
To see the performance of AI agents on more complex AI R&D tasks, I recommend METRâs recent publication: https://ââmetr.org/ââAI_R_D_Evaluation_Report.pdf
Having a human-centric core in EA seems robustly good to me, so weâre sure to make the world a better place even if our other ideas donât pan out.
$1 increase in womenâs income
What kind of income is this? Monthly, yearly, lifetime?
Thatâs not what I asked: In percentage points, how likely do you think you are right (and people who value e.g. GHWB over Animal Welfare are wrong)?