Molly Hickman

Karma: 306

Working at Metaculus. Formerly a data analyst at the Forecasting Research Institute. Member of the Samotsvety forecasting team. Currently ranked 2nd in INFER (formerly CSET-Foretell) all-time leaderboard (7th in current season). Interests include prediction markets, technology policy, and traditional music.

Collaborative Intelligence: Harnessing Crowd Forecasting for National Security

Deger Turan9 Dec 2024 22:12 UTC

6 points

1 comment4 min readEA link

(fas.org)

A Case for Nuanced Risk Assessment

Molly Hickman20 Aug 2024 9:23 UTC

25 points

3 comments6 min readEA link

Conditional Trees: Generating Informative Forecasting Questions (FRI) -- AI Risk Case Study

Forecasting Research Institute12 Aug 2024 16:24 UTC

43 points

2 comments8 min readEA link

(forecastingresearch.org)

Forecasting: the way I think about it

Molly Hickman16 May 2024 19:01 UTC

16 points

0 comments3 min readEA link

Results from an Adversarial Collaboration on AI Risk (FRI)

Forecasting Research Institute11 Mar 2024 15:54 UTC

193 points

25 comments9 min readEA link

(forecastingresearch.org)

Poor power quality is a bottleneck to global health and development

Molly Hickman26 Feb 2024 13:44 UTC

37 points

0 comments4 min readEA link