Thank you so much! Iâm very happy to hear it was helpful for you.
Nicholas Kruusđ¸
Karma: 540
SumÂmary: ComÂmuÂniÂcaÂtion Failure: The HidÂden Face Of The Tragedy Of The ComÂmons (Philippe Colo)
AI scalÂing myths
No âZero-Shotâ Without ExÂpoÂnenÂtial Data: PreÂtrainÂing ConÂcept FreÂquency DeterÂmines MulÂtiÂmodal Model Performance
SumÂmary: MisÂtakes in the MoÂral MathÂeÂmatÂics of ExÂisÂtenÂtial Risk (David Thorstad)
What if huÂman hisÂtory ocÂcurred durÂing your life? How was last night? Last week?
SumÂmary: Against the SinÂguÂlarÂity HyÂpothÂeÂsis (David Thorstad)
Thanks for catching the typo! Iâve updated the post to fix it. Not sure how that happened...
I think itâs reasonable to be skeptical. The results seem somewhat too good to be true. That said, the study seemed to have been carefully conducted, so, if the results are bunk, I doubt it was intentional.
SumÂmary: TrainÂing EffecÂtive AltruÂism (Mehmood et al.)
I apologize for this confusion. Iâve updated the section with the inaccurate statement @Richard Y Chappell quoted.
SumÂmary: LongterÂmism, AgÂgreÂgaÂtion, and CatasÂtrophic Risk (Emma J. CurÂran)
Thank you for bringing up other important considerations and limitations of these studies. You are right that, with this post, I donât intend to make any claims about the extent to which anyone should let productivity effects determine their decision whether or not to have children. Iâm just hoping to help better inform those who factor it into their choice (although, again, you make a good point about these studiesâ failure to account for the counterfactual of people who want children deciding against it).
Good catch; thank you very much. I misinterpreted the findingsâan embarrassing mistake on my part. Iâve updated the post to address this.
Unfortunately, not in the studies I have readâŚ
How much parÂentÂing harms proÂducÂtivity and how you can reÂduce it
SumÂmary: Tiny ProbÂaÂbilÂities and the Value of the Far FuÂture (PeÂtra KosoÂnen)
[Question] Should 80,000 Hours ConÂsider PutÂting Ads on its NewsletÂters?
SumÂmary: MaxÂiÂmal ClueÂlessÂness (AnÂdreas MoÂgensen)
Thanks for doing that! Iâd love to hear what he has to say.
I think, accounting for the information youâre asking about, there are strong consequentialist and deontological reasons not to murder anyone.
First, from a consequentialist perspective, murdering someone puts yourself and the Effective Altruism community at serious legal and reputational risk. This would be irrational and irresponsible given that you have many other, more effective, ways to reduce the suffering of factory farmed animals. We also have uncertainty about the moral status of non-human animals, so we need to be careful when trading off between the lives of humans and other species.
Second, from a deontological (and perhaps virtue-ethical) standpoint, murder is simply inexcusable. Since we face moral uncertainty about which moral framework is correct, I believe we ought not to do anything that would be clearly immoral on moral views other than consequentialism.
See more detailed information here (the page is about careers, but 80% of it applies to this case as well): https://ââ80000hours.org/ââarticles/ââharmful-career/ââ