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nikos

Karma: 584

[Question] Pre­dic­tive Perfor­mance on Me­tac­u­lus vs. Man­i­fold Markets

nikos3 Mar 2023 19:39 UTC
111 points
8 comments5 min readEA link

Wis­dom of the Crowd vs. “the Best of the Best of the Best”

nikos4 Apr 2023 15:32 UTC
96 points
11 comments12 min readEA link

Reflec­tions on Wytham Abbey

nikos10 Jan 2023 18:30 UTC
80 points
51 comments4 min readEA link

Creat­ing a database for base rates

nikos12 Dec 2022 10:05 UTC
74 points
7 comments3 min readEA link

More Is Prob­a­bly More—Fore­cast­ing Ac­cu­racy and Num­ber of Fore­cast­ers on Metaculus

nikos31 Jan 2023 17:20 UTC
36 points
11 comments10 min readEA link

Analysing In­di­vi­d­ual Con­tri­bu­tions to the Me­tac­u­lus Com­mu­nity Prediction

nikos8 May 2023 22:58 UTC
28 points
1 comment12 min readEA link

An­nounc­ing the Fore­cast­ing Wiki

nikos15 Apr 2022 9:53 UTC
23 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

Mir­ror, Mir­ror on the Wall: How Do Fore­cast­ers Fare by Their Own Call?

nikos7 Nov 2023 17:37 UTC
20 points
0 comments14 min readEA link

A Twit­ter Bot that reg­u­larly tweets cur­rent top posts from the EA Forum

nikos25 Jul 2021 9:15 UTC
18 points
7 comments1 min readEA link

Com­par­ing Two Fore­cast­ers in an Ideal World

nikos9 Oct 2023 20:06 UTC
14 points
6 comments6 min readEA link

A Twit­ter bot that tweets high im­pact jobs

nikos26 Jul 2021 10:16 UTC
12 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

An­nounc­ing the UK Covid-19 Crowd Fore­cast­ing Challenge

nikos17 May 2021 19:28 UTC
7 points
0 comments2 min readEA link