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Ozzie Gooen

Karma: 11,416

I’m currently researching forecasting and epistemics as part of the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute.

Ozzie Gooen’s Quick takes

Ozzie GooenSep 22, 2020, 7:17 PM
7 points
312 commentsEA link

Ex­pan­sive trans­la­tions: con­sid­er­a­tions and possibilities

Ozzie GooenSep 18, 2020, 9:38 PM
12 points
3 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

[Question] How to es­ti­mate the EV of gen­eral in­tel­lec­tual progress

Ozzie GooenJan 27, 2020, 10:21 AM
40 points
13 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] What are words, phrases, or top­ics that you think most EAs don’t know about but should?

Ozzie GooenJan 21, 2020, 8:15 PM
30 points
19 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] Best units for com­par­ing per­sonal in­ter­ven­tions?

Ozzie GooenJan 13, 2020, 8:53 AM
18 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Pre­dictably Pre­dictable Fu­tures Talk: Us­ing Ex­pected Loss & Pre­dic­tion In­no­va­tion for Long Term Benefits

Ozzie GooenJan 8, 2020, 10:19 PM
10 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

[Part 1] Am­plify­ing gen­er­al­ist re­search via fore­cast­ing – mod­els of im­pact and challenges

terraformDec 19, 2019, 6:16 PM
60 points
2 comments17 min readEA link

[Part 2] Am­plify­ing gen­er­al­ist re­search via fore­cast­ing – re­sults from a pre­limi­nary exploration

terraformDec 19, 2019, 4:36 PM
32 points
1 comment14 min readEA link

In­tro­duc­ing Fore­told.io: A New Open-Source Pre­dic­tion Registry

Ozzie GooenOct 16, 2019, 2:47 PM
48 points
5 comments3 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

[Question] What types of or­ga­ni­za­tions would be ideal to be dis­tribut­ing fund­ing for EA? (Fel­low­ships, Or­ga­ni­za­tions, etc)

Ozzie GooenAug 4, 2019, 8:38 PM
31 points
5 comments1 min readEA link

Con­ver­sa­tion on fore­cast­ing with Vaniver and Ozzie Gooen

terraformJul 30, 2019, 11:16 AM
38 points
4 comments32 min readEA link

[Question] What new EA pro­ject or org would you like to see cre­ated in the next 3 years?

Ozzie GooenJun 11, 2019, 8:56 PM
75 points
82 comments1 min readEA link

Im­pact Prizes as an al­ter­na­tive to Cer­tifi­cates of Impact

Ozzie GooenFeb 20, 2019, 9:25 PM
39 points
17 comments7 min readEA link

Dis­cus­sion: What are good le­gal en­tity struc­tures for new EA groups?

Ozzie GooenDec 18, 2018, 12:33 AM
14 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

Cur­rent AI Safety Roles for Soft­ware Engineers

Ozzie GooenNov 9, 2018, 9:00 PM
11 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Pre­dic­tion-Aug­mented Eval­u­a­tion Systems

Ozzie GooenNov 9, 2018, 11:43 AM
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Emo­tion In­clu­sive Altru­ism vs. Emo­tion Ex­clu­sive Altruism

Ozzie GooenDec 21, 2016, 1:40 AM
3 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

Ideas for Fu­ture Effec­tive Altru­ism Con­fer­ences: Open Thread

Ozzie GooenAug 13, 2016, 2:59 AM
2 points
80 comments1 min readEA link

Guessti­mate: An app for mak­ing de­ci­sions with con­fi­dence (in­ter­vals)

Ozzie GooenDec 30, 2015, 5:30 PM
63 points
18 comments2 min readEA link

Is there a he­do­nis­tic util­i­tar­ian case for Cry­on­ics? (Dis­cuss)

Ozzie GooenAug 27, 2015, 5:50 PM
9 points
34 comments1 min readEA link