Surprised Animal Charity Evaluators Recommended Charity Fund gives equal amounts to around a dozen charities:
https://animalcharityevaluators.org/donation-advice/recommended-charity-fund/
Obviously uncertainty’s involved, but a core tenant of EA and charity evaluators is that certain charities are more effective, so Givewell’s Top Charities Fund giving different amounts to only a few charities per year makes more sense to me:
https://www.givewell.org/top-charities-fund
Pat Myron
Karma: 397
Offput that 80k hours advises “if you find you aren’t interested in [The Precipice: Existential Risk], we probably aren’t the best people for you to get advice from”. Hoped there was more general advising beyond just those interested in existential risk
This December is the last month unlimited Manifold Markets currency redemptions for donations are assured: https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/The-New-Deal-for-Manifold-s-Charity-Program-1527421b89224370a30dc1c7820c23ec
Highly recommend redeeming donations this month since there are orders of magnitude more currency outstanding than can be donated in future months
This forum has many comments that essentially boil down to something like “thanks/you’re welcome/+1/this/me too/same/agree/disagree/great/etc” that dilute signal-to-noise
I imagine most of these commentators also voted on their parent content, and the comment itself doesn’t add much more than noise beyond that
90% or 99%
The giving pledge is 50%+, so I’d include 50%
Surprised how concentrated shortform authorship is. So far in 2023:
EA Forum:
25⁄125 (20%) @Nathan Young
9⁄125 (7%) @Evan_Gaensbauer
Lesswrong:
26⁄252 (10%) @DragonGod
10⁄252 (4%) @lc
assuming my code’s accurate enough:grep -Eo 'CommentUserName-author">.+?<' shortform.div | sort | uniq -c | sort -nr # outdatedgrep -Eo 'UsersNameDisplay-noColor" href=".+?">.+?<' shortform.div | sort | uniq -c | sort -nr # updated
No strong opinion on re-posting the same question, but would rather previous versions not be deleted to re-post them if they got answers:
https://web.archive.org/web/20230103122818/https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/85EmFxDmcQBhnrABt/what-are-some-high-impact-policy-ideas-that-you-consider-to
Agree-upvoting and karma-downvoting similar comments seems like a sensible use of the split-voting system. They’re not wildly insightful and don’t add much to discussions beyond that commenters’ own votes:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/oZff425xLnikfxeGD/pat-myron-s-shortform?commentId=HsadBx85nAggb8Q5T
Generic engagement/support can be channeled through voting/reactions rather than comments
updated full list announcement: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/2Nnu9ykixiqG2mMit/ce-announcing-our-february-2024-charity-ideas-apply-now
There are public biotech companies with ~$10B valuations and higher price/sales ratios: https://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=121&f=cap_midover&o=-ps
And private valuations are much more generous than public valuations
give you a customized report at the end showing what you’re good and less good at
Not sure what to make of the results and was expecting more detail from that statement
Not sure how much knowing you rotate shapes better than 99% of people is useful in real life
Creating an account defaulted to daily emails and gmail’s spam button didn’t stop them. Took me a while to figure out you have to unsubscribe in multiple spots on https://puck.news/my-account/email-preferences/
Surprised by the focus on developing new antibiotics since most antibiotics are currently given to farm animals. I initially thought reducing agriculture antibiotic usage would be the first policy pursued
certain blood groups
Maybe worth having blood drawn once and then reassessing based on personal blood, especially in light of exceptional cases like:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Harrison_(blood_donor)
substituting poultry for beef
Unfortunately, climate concerns and animal welfare concerns are inversed for that substitution: https://foodimpacts.org/
Manifold users don’t actually cash out that much, so we shouldn’t actually need that much cash on hand
This omits why Manifold users didn’t cash out much: return rates were unsustainably high. Ponzi schemes manage cash flow at the expense of profit
Sadly even slightly worse than 10x devaluation because 1,000 mana will redeem for $0.95 to cover “credit card fees and administrative work”
@Ariel Simnegar air pollution’s another significant factor in pregnancy loss:
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(20)30268-0/fulltext“exposure contributed to 29.2% of total annual pregnancy loss in this region”
Radar speed signs currently seem like one of the more cost effective traffic calming measures since they don’t require roadwork, but they still surprisingly cost thousands of dollars.
Mass producing cheaper radar speed signs seems like a tractable public health initiative