Sage is an organization building tools to make sense of the future.
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Concrete benefits of making predictions
Fatebook for Chrome: Make and embed forecasts in Google Docs
Forecast your 2024 with Fatebook
Fatebook: the fastest way to make and track predictions
The May Estimation Game is ready to play!
10 quick Fermi estimation questions to help you train your skills.
Predict your year in 2025: a website for tracking your forecasts
2024 is over. Did your life this year align with your expectations? What came out of nowhere and threw off your predictions? Did your actions align with your intentions? What fresh goals are you planning?
We’ve built predict your year in 2025, a space for you to write down your predictions for the year. At the end of your year, you can return, resolve your predictions as YES, NO or AMBIGUOUS, and reflect.
We’ve written some starter questions to make it super easy to get started predicting your year. You can tweak these and write your own—those will likely be the most important questions for you.
You can use this tool to predict your personal life in 2025 - your goals, relationships, work, health, and adventures. If you like, you can share your predictions with friends—for fun, for better predictions, and for motivation to achieve your goals this year!
You can also use this tool to predict questions relevant to your team or organisation in the coming year—your team strategy, performance, big financial questions, and potentially disruptive black swans. You can share your predictions with your team and let everyone contribute, to build common knowledge about expectations and pool your insights.
If you use Slack, you can also share your page of predictions in a Slack channel (e.g. #2025-predictions or #strategy), so everyone can easily discuss in threads and return to it throughout the year.
I hope you have a good time thinking about your coming year, and that it sparks some great conversations with friends and teammates.
Happy new year!