While I respect the inside view information you would have about Julia Wise’s personality given your position, you should keep in mind that what you’re saying is exactly what William MacAskill would have told us about Sam Bankman-Fried two months ago.
I found her apology unpersuasive and the events surrounding the publication of Guzey’s post, including MacAskill’s behavior, were quite strange. I wouldn’t say I’m confident of anything but I wouldn’t be surprised if leaking Guzey’s private draft was planned on their part.
I don’t understand why you think subsequent reactions and discussion reflected worse on Guzey than on CEA. I think the incident seems pretty clear-cut.
I had the opportunity to discuss this incident with someone who knew Julia Wise personally and they also said that they don’t know what to make of it as they didn’t think Wise would do what Guzey was accusing her of. However, even if Julia Wise just made a honest mistake, MacAskill appears to have tried to conceal the fact that he had access to the draft Guzey sent to Wise in confidence.
For me this incident is telling because it shows MacAskill is willing to be dishonest even when the issue at stake is entirely trivial. The response to this blaming Guzey instead of MacAskill and Wise was very disturbing to me and I think it’s a good example of EA not taking criticism that bites seriously. Even if Guzey’s post was of low quality, and I think in some parts it indeed was, the events surrounding the publication of the post ought to dwarf any substantive concern you might have with Guzey’s criticism of Doing Good Better.
(Note that I’m not the author of the post, but someone else posting under a throwaway account.)