My models is that relatively few people are both very generative and very well calibrated. It’s hard to be the sort of person who comes up with many novel theories or connections (Robin Hanson) and who is generally right about whatever they say (Peter Wildeford).
Could you explain more of what you mean by “generative”?
People who come up with surprising ideas.
My models is that relatively few people are both very generative and very well calibrated. It’s hard to be the sort of person who comes up with many novel theories or connections (Robin Hanson) and who is generally right about whatever they say (Peter Wildeford).