I think there probably is a solution here, which is to give status to people who are either generative or have good forecasting track records. If that doesn’t work, plausibly limiting open tickets to manifold users and forecasters with a small pool of other tickets.
I think I prefer rate limits over bans—so allowing some percentage of possibly racist attendees rather than having it be none but with a fundamentally different event.
My models is that relatively few people are both very generative and very well calibrated. It’s hard to be the sort of person who comes up with many novel theories or connections (Robin Hanson) and who is generally right about whatever they say (Peter Wildeford).
I think there probably is a solution here, which is to give status to people who are either generative or have good forecasting track records. If that doesn’t work, plausibly limiting open tickets to manifold users and forecasters with a small pool of other tickets.
I think I prefer rate limits over bans—so allowing some percentage of possibly racist attendees rather than having it be none but with a fundamentally different event.
Could you explain more of what you mean by “generative”?
People who come up with surprising ideas.
My models is that relatively few people are both very generative and very well calibrated. It’s hard to be the sort of person who comes up with many novel theories or connections (Robin Hanson) and who is generally right about whatever they say (Peter Wildeford).