Some possible setups:
Say an intervention costs $10,000,000.00, and speeds up the field of information theory by 1% per year for 10 years.
Say a great paper is written in information theory that gets N citations.
What are some reasonable approaches to estimating the expected values of such setups?
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[Question] How to estimate the EV of general intellectual progress
Some possible setups:
Say an intervention costs $10,000,000.00, and speeds up the field of information theory by 1% per year for 10 years.
Say a great paper is written in information theory that gets N citations.
What are some reasonable approaches to estimating the expected values of such setups?