Metaculus is getting better at writing quickly-resolving questions, and we can probably help write some good ones for the next iteration of OPTIC.
There’s a certain eye for news that is interesting, forecastable, and short-term one develops. Our Beginner tournaments (current, 2023 Q1, 2022 Q4) explicitly only have questions that resolve within 1 week, so you can see some inspiration there.
yeah, i agree — i think we’ll probably rely more heavily on questions in that style for the next iteration of OPTIC. i don’t think we relied enough on existing questions/tournaments (see here).
Metaculus is getting better at writing quickly-resolving questions, and we can probably help write some good ones for the next iteration of OPTIC.
There’s a certain eye for news that is interesting, forecastable, and short-term one develops. Our Beginner tournaments (current, 2023 Q1, 2022 Q4) explicitly only have questions that resolve within 1 week, so you can see some inspiration there.
yeah, i agree — i think we’ll probably rely more heavily on questions in that style for the next iteration of OPTIC. i don’t think we relied enough on existing questions/tournaments (see here).