Strong disagree for misattributing blame and eliding the question.
To the extent that “EA is counterfactually responsible for the three primary AGI labs,” you would need to claim that the ex-ante expected value of specific decisions was negative, and that those decisions were because of EA, not that it went poorly ex-post. Perhaps you can make those arguments, but you aren’t.
Ditto for “The decisions which caused the FTX catastrophe”—Whose decisions, where does the blame go, and to what extent are they about EA? SBF’s decision to misappropriate funds, or fraudulently misrepresent what he did? CEA not knowing about it? OpenPhil not investigating? Goldman Sachs doing a bad job with due diligence?
I agree with this, except when you tell me I was eliding the question (and, of course, when you tell me I was misattributing blame). I was giving a summary of my position, not an analysis which I think would be deep enough to convince all skeptics.
Strong disagree for misattributing blame and eliding the question.
To the extent that “EA is counterfactually responsible for the three primary AGI labs,” you would need to claim that the ex-ante expected value of specific decisions was negative, and that those decisions were because of EA, not that it went poorly ex-post. Perhaps you can make those arguments, but you aren’t.
Ditto for “The decisions which caused the FTX catastrophe”—Whose decisions, where does the blame go, and to what extent are they about EA? SBF’s decision to misappropriate funds, or fraudulently misrepresent what he did? CEA not knowing about it? OpenPhil not investigating? Goldman Sachs doing a bad job with due diligence?
I agree with this, except when you tell me I was eliding the question (and, of course, when you tell me I was misattributing blame). I was giving a summary of my position, not an analysis which I think would be deep enough to convince all skeptics.
You say you agree, but I was asking questions about what you were claiming and who you were blaming.