Lazy semi-tangential reply: I recently gave a presentation that was partly about how I’ve used forecasting in my nuclear risk research and how I think forecasting could be better used in research. Here are the slides and here’s the video. Slides 12-15 / minutes 20-30 are most relevant.
I also plan to, in ~1 or 2 months, write and publish a post with meta-level takeaways from the sprawling series of projects I ended up doing in collaboration with Metaculus, which will have further thoughts relevant to your question.
(Also keen to see answers from other people at RP.)
Lazy semi-tangential reply: I recently gave a presentation that was partly about how I’ve used forecasting in my nuclear risk research and how I think forecasting could be better used in research. Here are the slides and here’s the video. Slides 12-15 / minutes 20-30 are most relevant.
I also plan to, in ~1 or 2 months, write and publish a post with meta-level takeaways from the sprawling series of projects I ended up doing in collaboration with Metaculus, which will have further thoughts relevant to your question.
(Also keen to see answers from other people at RP.)