Thanks Stefan, I clarified the ‘we’ but let me know if there are other changes that could make it clearer. I guess I was treating it as a jumping off point for thinking about the trajectories of the field of Longtermist research/ interventions in the future more than a very specific forecasting question (hence the vagaries). But if that means people won’t be as keen on answering I can shape it up a bit.
Thanks Stefan, I clarified the ‘we’ but let me know if there are other changes that could make it clearer. I guess I was treating it as a jumping off point for thinking about the trajectories of the field of Longtermist research/ interventions in the future more than a very specific forecasting question (hence the vagaries). But if that means people won’t be as keen on answering I can shape it up a bit.