Naively, $1.6B/$5k ~330k deaths averted[1]? Adjust down because some spending is less effective than AMF. Adjust up because of AMF cost/life inflation.
Is there solid on-the-ground evidence of this effect? annual worldwide malaria burden is on the order of 500k/year, at least in theory 330k total (reframed, 33k/year spread out across 10 years) should maybe be large enough to show up in the summary statistics if you do diff-in-diff studies etc.
A lot of this wouldn’t show up in malaria, e.g. last year 39% of GiveWell funds directed went to malaria programs. But yeah, still would be interested to see data.
Naively, $1.6B/$5k ~330k deaths averted[1]? Adjust down because some spending is less effective than AMF. Adjust up because of AMF cost/life inflation.
(Or equivalent)
Is there solid on-the-ground evidence of this effect? annual worldwide malaria burden is on the order of 500k/year, at least in theory 330k total (reframed, 33k/year spread out across 10 years) should maybe be large enough to show up in the summary statistics if you do diff-in-diff studies etc.
A lot of this wouldn’t show up in malaria, e.g. last year 39% of GiveWell funds directed went to malaria programs. But yeah, still would be interested to see data.