I think this is a good point. I think people probably underrate the costs of duplicate/redundant work. That said:
1) You can’t see detailed predictions of other individual people on Metaculus, only the aggregated prediction by one of Metaculus’s favored weightings.
2) The commenting system on Metaculus is more barebones than the EA Forum or LessWrong (eg you can’t attach pictures, there’s no downvote functionality).
I thought that was exactly what Metaculus has been established for. In which way is this different ?
I think this is a good point. I think people probably underrate the costs of duplicate/redundant work. That said:
1) You can’t see detailed predictions of other individual people on Metaculus, only the aggregated prediction by one of Metaculus’s favored weightings.
2) The commenting system on Metaculus is more barebones than the EA Forum or LessWrong (eg you can’t attach pictures, there’s no downvote functionality).
3) The userbases are different.