I really like this work. I was originally going to mention a lack of consideration of the time value of money, but when I started reading the linked-to paper I realized it was your starting point.
Have you thought much about how to use it for x-risk reduction work? I assume that x-risks may be quite different than the examples you specified, with near-infinite values of B.
I really like this work. I was originally going to mention a lack of consideration of the time value of money, but when I started reading the linked-to paper I realized it was your starting point.
Have you thought much about how to use it for x-risk reduction work? I assume that x-risks may be quite different than the examples you specified, with near-infinite values of B.
Yes, in fact I’ll be releasing an article soon which applies this framework to prioritisation of different methods for reducing existential risk.
We’ll need some extra tools to compare between reducing existential risk and other goods. This is something I hope to come back to.
Stumbling on this today-did this article ever get published? Would be keen to read
I’m not certain I remember what I was referring to here, but my best guess is that it was this article: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/HENbwrDYnTktRtNdE/report-allocating-risk-mitigation-across-time
Thanks!