I think making predictions (and learning how they go) for the short & medium term future will help us be much more calibrated on our predictions for the long-term future. So all the work on prediction markets etc probably give us better insight there.
I’m not sold on some sort of Great Reflection style pause, but it also doesn’t seem like a crazy idea.
I frankly have not thought hard about how acausal influence changes how we should act. I don’t have good recommendations. Being kind & having a wide circle of empathy feels pretty robustly good, but I won’t pretend to have justified that from the lens of acausal negotiations.
I think making predictions (and learning how they go) for the short & medium term future will help us be much more calibrated on our predictions for the long-term future. So all the work on prediction markets etc probably give us better insight there.
I’m not sold on some sort of Great Reflection style pause, but it also doesn’t seem like a crazy idea.
I frankly have not thought hard about how acausal influence changes how we should act. I don’t have good recommendations. Being kind & having a wide circle of empathy feels pretty robustly good, but I won’t pretend to have justified that from the lens of acausal negotiations.