They made ~142 grants in that 18 month period. Assuming some multiple grants, that’s still maybe 100-120 grantees to contact to ask whether they want to opt-in or not. Presumably most grantees will want to see, if not dispute, their tiered ranking before they opt in to publishing it. This will all take a fair amount of time—and perhaps time at a senior level: eg the relevant relationship-holder (presumably the Program Officer) will need to contact the grantees, and then the CEO of the grantee will want to see the ranking and perhaps dispute it. It also runs a fair risk of damaging relationships with grantees.
So I would not be surprised if OpenPhil did not release the full tiered ranking. What they could do is release the list they considered (or confirm if I or others are correct in our attempted replication). Then we can at least know the ‘universe of cases’ they considered.
I’d think that getting a half dozen individual data points would be sufficient for 90+% of the value, and we’re at least 1/3rd of the way there in this thread alone.
They made ~142 grants in that 18 month period. Assuming some multiple grants, that’s still maybe 100-120 grantees to contact to ask whether they want to opt-in or not. Presumably most grantees will want to see, if not dispute, their tiered ranking before they opt in to publishing it. This will all take a fair amount of time—and perhaps time at a senior level: eg the relevant relationship-holder (presumably the Program Officer) will need to contact the grantees, and then the CEO of the grantee will want to see the ranking and perhaps dispute it. It also runs a fair risk of damaging relationships with grantees.
So I would not be surprised if OpenPhil did not release the full tiered ranking. What they could do is release the list they considered (or confirm if I or others are correct in our attempted replication). Then we can at least know the ‘universe of cases’ they considered.
I’d think that getting a half dozen individual data points would be sufficient for 90+% of the value, and we’re at least 1/3rd of the way there in this thread alone.