Thanks! I agree that this might be another pretty important consideration, though I’d want to think a bit about how to model it in a way that feels relatively realistic and non-arbitrary.
E.g. maybe we should say people start out with a prior on the effectiveness of a movement at getting good things done, and instead of just being deterministically “recruited”, they decide whether to contribute their labor and/or capital to a movement partly on the basis of their evaluation of its effectiveness, after updating on the basis of its track record.
A hacky solution is just to bear in mind that ‘movement building’ often doesn’t look like explicit recruitment, but could include a lot of things that look a lot like object level work.
We can then consider two questions:
What’s the ideal fraction to invest in movement building?
What are the highest-return movement building efforts? (where that might look like object-level work)
This would ignore the object level value projected by the movement building efforts, but that would be fine, unless they’re of comparable value.
For most interventions, either the movement building effects or the object level value is going to dominate, so we can just treat them as one of the other.
Thanks! I agree that this might be another pretty important consideration, though I’d want to think a bit about how to model it in a way that feels relatively realistic and non-arbitrary.
E.g. maybe we should say people start out with a prior on the effectiveness of a movement at getting good things done, and instead of just being deterministically “recruited”, they decide whether to contribute their labor and/or capital to a movement partly on the basis of their evaluation of its effectiveness, after updating on the basis of its track record.
A hacky solution is just to bear in mind that ‘movement building’ often doesn’t look like explicit recruitment, but could include a lot of things that look a lot like object level work.
We can then consider two questions:
What’s the ideal fraction to invest in movement building?
What are the highest-return movement building efforts? (where that might look like object-level work)
This would ignore the object level value projected by the movement building efforts, but that would be fine, unless they’re of comparable value.
For most interventions, either the movement building effects or the object level value is going to dominate, so we can just treat them as one of the other.