I’m an AI-concerned person who would also likely take this bet (or similar bets) against Greg’s side, i.e. I don’t think that AGI will kill us all by the end of 2027. Please do reach out if you’d like to bet in the $100-$10k range.
Note that I made an exception on timelines for this bet, to get it to happen as the first of it’s kind. I’d be more comfortable making it 5 years from the date of the bet. Anyway, open to doing $10k, especially if it’s done in terms of donations (makes things easier in terms of trust, I think). But I’m also going to say that I think the signalling value would be higher if it was against someone who wasn’t EA or concerned about AI x-risk.
When you say ‘AI concerned’ does that mean you would be interested in taking Greg’s side of the bet (that everyone will die)? That is my interpretation, but the fact that you didn’t say this explicitly makes me unsure.
I’m an AI-concerned person who would also likely take this bet (or similar bets) against Greg’s side, i.e. I don’t think that AGI will kill us all by the end of 2027. Please do reach out if you’d like to bet in the $100-$10k range.
(Edited for clarity)
Note that I made an exception on timelines for this bet, to get it to happen as the first of it’s kind. I’d be more comfortable making it 5 years from the date of the bet. Anyway, open to doing $10k, especially if it’s done in terms of donations (makes things easier in terms of trust, I think). But I’m also going to say that I think the signalling value would be higher if it was against someone who wasn’t EA or concerned about AI x-risk.
When you say ‘AI concerned’ does that mean you would be interested in taking Greg’s side of the bet (that everyone will die)? That is my interpretation, but the fact that you didn’t say this explicitly makes me unsure.
Oops, I meant that I would like to bet against Greg, but I can see how my last comment was ambiguous, and I appreciate your comment.