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Notes from an angel of feedback who generally liked the post, but as usual, will comment mostly when he sees a chance to be constructive or invite a response:
Thanks for using headers, summarizing the post up front (including the reasoning for the unusual style), and asking for feedback at the end (in a creative, good-humored way).
The style started out funny/ālight, but started to weigh down the prose by the āepiphanyā section. Even in jest, Iām wary of using the name āSt. Xā to describe anyone in EA; that can be easy to misinterpret for outside readers, and Iād guess that it would also make some of the people so described pretty uncomfortable.
The fundamental point I took away from this is one Iāve also argued for in recent weeks: If you want to live by something like EA principles, you should try to do the best you can with the resources you have to offer (āhave to offerā =/ā= āhaveā, you donāt need to give everything you can spare or even close to that amount).
On the career front, this means you should do some kind of work that is some combination of intrinsically and consequentially fulfilling. Itās good to aim for what you believe to be the highest-impact work you can do, but you arenāt āobligatedā to optimize your career (just like you arenāt āobligatedā to do anything else).
And if you donāt get a job you applied for, that doesnāt imply that you should feel despair, or like the person who did get the job is somehow ābetterā than you. Thereās a very big difference between āpeople who seem to be doing the most impactful workā and āpeople who are the most ālegitā/āārespectableā in the communityā. If you believe in the principles of EA and are trying to live in a way that does as much good as possible for other people given the resources you have to offer, you donāt have anything left to prove.
If three people try applying to the same jobs and end up in positions A, B, and C, and it turns out that, a century from now, we know that B was the highest-impact job, this doesnāt mean that the person with that job was āmore importantā or ābetterā or anything like that. What matters is that each person tried to find a way to have an impact as best they could. Weāre all part of the story of effective altruism.
Claudette Colvinās activism was very similar to that of Rosa Parks. It turned out that Rosa Parks became much more famous, with a story that was more influential in the Civil Rights movement. This doesnāt make Parks a ābetter Civil Rights participantā than Colvin.
Regarding the artists you mentioned:
Yes, people with outstanding talent in an area should be wary of giving that up to focus on something that seems more effective. Being world-class at anything can be really impactful.
Iād be remiss not to point out that almost all of historyās would-be Spinozas, Beethovens, Kahlos, and Vonneguts never produced anything that stood the test of time. Itās possible that for every musician who makes a good decision by not becoming an accountant, there are two musicians who make poor decisions by not becoming accountants. (Of course, thinking about ways to make an impact through your art/ātalent can be a very promising path, whether that means āconvincing fellow poker professionals to give to EA charitiesā or āputting on concerts at EA Globalā.)
Every historical issue can be approached in many ways, some of which are more likely to work than others. Even if we assume that MLK et al. found the optimal strategies for their situations, there are important differences between segregation, factory farming, and AI risk. You can find a historical analogue for nearly anything you want to do, but itās still better to look at the features of your situation, consider your options, and choose something that seems like the best fit for the specific case at hand.
The āexpected resultā seems to be āvery little or no changeā, based on the track record of people who have tried to change the world over the millennia. Many revolutions are bloody failures. Many movements peter out and vanish, or find themselves on the wrong side of history. Hungering and thirsting help, but thinking, planning, and taking action are paramount.
I donāt know about historical numbers, but the 80K board currently has a number of jobs in the 150-200 range, plus a list of recommended organizations that might be able to create a new job for the right candidate. There are also many other resources for jobs that are EA-adjacent, EA-aligned, or at least āpromising ways to get involved in something that could help you make an impact laterā. EA jobs are less rare than they seem at first.
Part of this feeling seems to come from something like the Friendship Paradox, though perhaps thereās an even better mathematical analogue Iām missing:
If 900 people apply to Open Phil and 100 people apply across 19 other jobs, the EA applicant community will consist of 95% not-super-competitive jobs and 90% people who experienced a lot of competition. Does that make the EA job market competitive, or does it mean that most applicants have quite narrow preferences about the work they want to do?*
(I applied to ~10 positions across EA last year, and in a few cases, was one of three or fewer applicants.)
*This is a trick question. The answer is āboth things are true to some extentā, which is almost always the answer in this situation.
--
I work for CEA, but these views are my own.
I really love this! The style makes it clear you are practicing what you preach about letting yourself play and take aesthetic delight :) I really relate to your journey thus far and it means a lot to have other people talk about it.
Your post really struck a chord with me. Your style of writing so perfectly captures the problematic mindset many EAās (sorta including myself) have adopted. The way of treating EA writing as holy truths made by people so unbelievably smart that they must have taken into consideration every conceivable thing annoys me greatly. These gospel truths are not written by prophets but by people about as smart as yourselves! 80,000 hours is a good guideline for how to think of your career, nothing more. They cannot possibly know what is the best career for you. You are your own person, think for yourself!
Just because (insert EA authority) wrote it, doesnāt make it so. And more importantly, just because (insert EA authority) didnāt write about it, doesnāt make it not so. Thereās so many great opportunities around where the only reason nobody is talking about it is because nobody but you has thought about it.
Donāt get me wrong Iām not criticizing 80k, nor any other EA authority. The reason we got here in the first place is exactly because they did such a great job. Iām criticizing us for making it out to be more than it is. For the love of god lets end this herd mentality of flocking around whatever (insert EA authority) last decided most valuable and start making our own choices!
You donāt need anyoneās acknowledgement to start working on what you think is important. MIRI was founded by someone with no high school diploma! Want to help with AI research? Start another MIRI, now thereās room for twice as many MIRI-style researchers.
An organization like red-cross may not be hip with the tribe we hope to impress, but that doesnāt mean there isnāt room for a large impact. Explore the opportunities unique to you, even if they donāt show up high on the 80k ladder of āgenerally impactfulā.
Carpe diem!
I really like this. We can be effective, but we canāt do that if weāre all sad and depressed because we tie our sense of self worth to something unattainable. I also enjoyed the fun stylistic choices!
Thank you for posting this, I really REALLY enjoyed it and it hits the nail on the head in terms of something Iāve been struggling with for a long time. What lies below is what troubles me the most, do you have any recommendations on how to go about finding/āuncovering your voice? I previously optimised for learning/āskills/āmoney and found myself at a similar crossroads to you, now Iām laden with modern day responsibilities (wife and kid) but feel like I cannot risk their safety etc much to experiment with different jobs that I may find more fulfilling.
find our voice
Thank you for sharing this! As a student about to graduate from college, Iāve been researching ways to maximize my social impact through my career, and I found 80,000 Hoursā career guide a very trustworthy, general-purpose resource for a long time. But Iāve noticed that their more recent material seems aimed at funneling readers into their preferred career paths, especially academic careers and positions at EA organizations. For a short period of time over the summer, I became hyped up about AI safety because it was the #1 issue from 80Kās perspective and my skill set (computer science) seemed like a fit, but that enthusiasm didnāt last long.
Iāve noticed that the set of causes I am passionate about changes very frequently (about once every two weeks), but I continually and repeatedly return to certain causesātypically immigration, criminal justice reform, mental health, and global development. I would like to pursue a career doing direct work, and in order to do so effectively, I need to be able to make a durable commitment to a cause that I will be passionate about over the next several years. I would not be an effective āeffective altruistā if I spent my career chasing trends.
would be interested in hearing what direction you go as I hit similar issues, though Iām further into my career already unfortunately!