I don’t think it has shifted the scales yet, uncertainty remains huge on the Anthropic question. Not only on the amount, but I’m sure there will be many impactful cause areas which won’t benefit that will still need more money.
And even if 10 billion (or whatever) does end up coming in, It might change the ETG math less than we’d expect? Would be interested to see someone do some play-math with the numbers....
If there’s SOME chance that any significant money gets directed to mainstream EA orgs for unrestricted use, then surely that shifts the scales somewhat? There’s also the fact that, as others on the forum have pointed out, there’s now a greater need to work on making orgs able to absorb additional funds, making the ‘direct impact’ career pathway more promising/urgent.
But I agree I’d like to see the maths, I’ve got no idea what chances of what amount of money we’re talking about here.
I don’t think it has shifted the scales yet, uncertainty remains huge on the Anthropic question. Not only on the amount, but I’m sure there will be many impactful cause areas which won’t benefit that will still need more money.
And even if 10 billion (or whatever) does end up coming in, It might change the ETG math less than we’d expect? Would be interested to see someone do some play-math with the numbers....
If there’s SOME chance that any significant money gets directed to mainstream EA orgs for unrestricted use, then surely that shifts the scales somewhat? There’s also the fact that, as others on the forum have pointed out, there’s now a greater need to work on making orgs able to absorb additional funds, making the ‘direct impact’ career pathway more promising/urgent.
But I agree I’d like to see the maths, I’ve got no idea what chances of what amount of money we’re talking about here.