Ranking the risks is outside the scope of our work.
Interpreting the metaculus questions sounds interesting, though it is not obvious how to disentangle the scenarios that forecasters had in mind. I think the Forecasting Research Institute is doing some related work, surveying forecasters on different risks.
Ranking the risks is outside the scope of our work. Interpreting the metaculus questions sounds interesting, though it is not obvious how to disentangle the scenarios that forecasters had in mind. I think the Forecasting Research Institute is doing some related work, surveying forecasters on different risks.