This paper I read a few years ago gives an estimate for the mortality cost of carbon emissions. Obviously this is highly uncertain and would change based on projected policy changes/​ new technology. The mainline estimate is that the average American’s lifetime emissions lead to 1.16 excess deaths before 2100.
Thanks for sharing. I didn’t quite understand the methodology in the paper (e.g. why 4.1 degrees as baseline? and I saw 0.29 as the total lifetime impact, rather than 1.16) but either way it seems to agree that the post’s implicit estimates were way too high.
This paper I read a few years ago gives an estimate for the mortality cost of carbon emissions. Obviously this is highly uncertain and would change based on projected policy changes/​ new technology. The mainline estimate is that the average American’s lifetime emissions lead to 1.16 excess deaths before 2100.
Thanks for sharing. I didn’t quite understand the methodology in the paper (e.g. why 4.1 degrees as baseline? and I saw 0.29 as the total lifetime impact, rather than 1.16) but either way it seems to agree that the post’s implicit estimates were way too high.