Denkenberger🔸 comments on How Likely Are Various Precursors of Existential Risk?

[Denkenberger🔸]

I like how comprehensive this is.

Note that a one in a millennium eruption together with a once in a century plague, like the Plague of Justinian still wasn’t enough to cause existential risk (humans aren’t extinct yet), though the ensuing little ice age could arguably be categorized as a catastrophic risk.

Minor, but existential risk includes more than extinction. So it could be “humans haven’t undergone an unrecoverable collapse yet (or some other way of losing future potential).”

[NunoSempere]

I like how comprehensive this is.

Thanks. In some ways it’s pretty casual; you could easily imagine a version with 10x or 100x more effort.

Minor, but existential risk includes more than extinction. So it could be “humans haven’t undergone an unrecoverable collapse yet (or some other way of losing future potential).”

Agree!