Lifespans of civilizations/societies across history
How this differs based on various factors (e.g., maybe societies used to last longer or for less time? maybe it differs by region, by how many other societies border them, or by stage of technological development?)
“cause of death” (e.g., invasions, internal breakdown, ecological issues, …)
Anders Sandberg at FHI looked into this to some extent (see a talk here and slides here). I could connect you with him if that’d be helpful.
Some other global catastrophic risk researchers may also have looked into this somewhat, e.g. perhaps Luke Kemp, Luisa Rodriguez, Haydn Belfield, or Karim Jebari. Again, I could probably provide intros if helpful.
I imagine various people outside the global catastrophic risk community have also looked into this somewhat, e.g. Jared Diamond and Peter Turchin.
Civilizational collapse data
Lifespans of civilizations/societies across history
How this differs based on various factors (e.g., maybe societies used to last longer or for less time? maybe it differs by region, by how many other societies border them, or by stage of technological development?)
“cause of death” (e.g., invasions, internal breakdown, ecological issues, …)
Anders Sandberg at FHI looked into this to some extent (see a talk here and slides here). I could connect you with him if that’d be helpful.
Some other global catastrophic risk researchers may also have looked into this somewhat, e.g. perhaps Luke Kemp, Luisa Rodriguez, Haydn Belfield, or Karim Jebari. Again, I could probably provide intros if helpful.
I imagine various people outside the global catastrophic risk community have also looked into this somewhat, e.g. Jared Diamond and Peter Turchin.
This has been recently brought up again, alongside individual species extinctions.