J. Scott Armstrong’s paper’s have been useful.
Thanks!
oh if you’re actively looking for material in this area I’d also recommend the work of Randolph Pherson:
https://smile.amazon.com/Structured-Analytic-Techniques-Intelligence-Analysis/dp/1452241511/ref=la_B005KRE6B2_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1472336906&sr=1-1
https://smile.amazon.com/Cases-Intelligence-Analysis-Structured-Techniques/dp/1608716813
(referral links go to CFAR) (also check libgen)
Current theme: default
Less Wrong (text)
Less Wrong (link)
Arrow keys: Next/previous image
Escape or click: Hide zoomed image
Space bar: Reset image size & position
Scroll to zoom in/out
(When zoomed in, drag to pan; double-click to close)
Keys shown in yellow (e.g., ]) are accesskeys, and require a browser-specific modifier key (or keys).
]
Keys shown in grey (e.g., ?) do not require any modifier keys.
?
Esc
h
f
a
m
v
c
r
q
t
u
o
,
.
/
s
n
e
;
Enter
[
\
k
i
l
=
-
0
′
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
→
↓
←
↑
Space
x
z
`
g
J. Scott Armstrong’s paper’s have been useful.
Thanks!
oh if you’re actively looking for material in this area I’d also recommend the work of Randolph Pherson:
https://smile.amazon.com/Structured-Analytic-Techniques-Intelligence-Analysis/dp/1452241511/ref=la_B005KRE6B2_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1472336906&sr=1-1
https://smile.amazon.com/Cases-Intelligence-Analysis-Structured-Techniques/dp/1608716813
(referral links go to CFAR) (also check libgen)