“(Tetlock being the most visible forecasting researcher, but definitely not the only one.)”
Is there anybody in particular other than Tetlock that you think EAs are neglecting?
J. Scott Armstrong’s paper’s have been useful.
Thanks!
oh if you’re actively looking for material in this area I’d also recommend the work of Randolph Pherson:
https://smile.amazon.com/Structured-Analytic-Techniques-Intelligence-Analysis/dp/1452241511/ref=la_B005KRE6B2_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1472336906&sr=1-1
https://smile.amazon.com/Cases-Intelligence-Analysis-Structured-Techniques/dp/1608716813
(referral links go to CFAR) (also check libgen)
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“(Tetlock being the most visible forecasting researcher, but definitely not the only one.)”
Is there anybody in particular other than Tetlock that you think EAs are neglecting?
J. Scott Armstrong’s paper’s have been useful.
Thanks!
oh if you’re actively looking for material in this area I’d also recommend the work of Randolph Pherson:
https://smile.amazon.com/Structured-Analytic-Techniques-Intelligence-Analysis/dp/1452241511/ref=la_B005KRE6B2_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1472336906&sr=1-1
https://smile.amazon.com/Cases-Intelligence-Analysis-Structured-Techniques/dp/1608716813
(referral links go to CFAR) (also check libgen)