If I’m understanding correctly the main point you’re making is that I probably shouldn’t have said this:
There is little room for improvement here...
I think I’m making two points. The first point was, yeah, I think there is substantial room for improvement here. But the second point is necessary: analyzing the situation with Taiwan is crucial if we seek to effectively reduce nuclear risk.
I do not think it was wrong to focus on the trade war. It depends on your goals. If you wanted to promote quick, actionable and robust advice, it made sense. If you wanted to stare straight into the abyss, and solve the problem directly, it made a little less sense. Sometimes the first thing is what we need. But, as I’m glad to hear, you seem to agree with me that we also sometimes need to do the second thing.
Yeah definitely on the same page then! I agree with what you said there with the possible exception or caveat that I’m skeptical on improvements to the Taiwan issue and that if you find or know of any persuasive abyss-staring arguments on this topic (or write them yourself) I’d appreciate it if you share them with me because I’d be happy to be wrong in my skepticism and would like to learn more about any promising options.
Thanks for the continued discussion.
I think I’m making two points. The first point was, yeah, I think there is substantial room for improvement here. But the second point is necessary: analyzing the situation with Taiwan is crucial if we seek to effectively reduce nuclear risk.
I do not think it was wrong to focus on the trade war. It depends on your goals. If you wanted to promote quick, actionable and robust advice, it made sense. If you wanted to stare straight into the abyss, and solve the problem directly, it made a little less sense. Sometimes the first thing is what we need. But, as I’m glad to hear, you seem to agree with me that we also sometimes need to do the second thing.
Yeah definitely on the same page then! I agree with what you said there with the possible exception or caveat that I’m skeptical on improvements to the Taiwan issue and that if you find or know of any persuasive abyss-staring arguments on this topic (or write them yourself) I’d appreciate it if you share them with me because I’d be happy to be wrong in my skepticism and would like to learn more about any promising options.