You can imagine strategies like, ”There’s just one question. However, people will get paid out over time, if the future aggregate agrees with their earlier forecasts. These payments can trigger at arbitrary times, and can feature a lot of flexibility regarding how far back the forecasts are that they reward.”
The effect is very similar to doing it by formally having separate questions.
(I’m sure many would consider this a minor difference)
What other methods do you have in mind for it?
You can imagine strategies like,
”There’s just one question. However, people will get paid out over time, if the future aggregate agrees with their earlier forecasts. These payments can trigger at arbitrary times, and can feature a lot of flexibility regarding how far back the forecasts are that they reward.”
The effect is very similar to doing it by formally having separate questions.
(I’m sure many would consider this a minor difference)