Timothy_Liptrot comments on What is the increase in expected value of effective altruist Wayne Hsiung being mayor of Berkeley instead of its current incumbent?

[Timothy_Liptrot]

Maybe. That’s orthogonal to my comment. I was responding to

My default belief is that a politician implying something he knows the listener wants to hear is not evidence he’s believes or will act on that implication.

As to the empirical content of “evidence-based policy”, I’m not an expert on that question yet.