You’re right that the Tarsney paper was an important driver in bringing cubic to this framework. That’s why it’s a key source in the value cases summary. Modelling uncertainty is an excellent next step for various scenarios.
Thanks very much for the link to David’s response. I hadn’t seen that!
Good to have the link to Carl’s thread, it’ll be valuable to run these models and get some visualisations with that 1 in a million estimate too!
Good to hear from you Michael! Some thoughts:
You’re right that the Tarsney paper was an important driver in bringing cubic to this framework. That’s why it’s a key source in the value cases summary. Modelling uncertainty is an excellent next step for various scenarios.
Thanks very much for the link to David’s response. I hadn’t seen that!
Good to have the link to Carl’s thread, it’ll be valuable to run these models and get some visualisations with that 1 in a million estimate too!