Hi Siebe, yes, all the scenarios of this report assume positive value at all times. I don’t think it’s certain that this will happen which is why the concluding remarks mention “investigating value trajectories that feature negative value” as a possible extension. So, yes, I completely agree this is something to look into in more depth.
Hi Siebe, yes, all the scenarios of this report assume positive value at all times. I don’t think it’s certain that this will happen which is why the concluding remarks mention “investigating value trajectories that feature negative value” as a possible extension. So, yes, I completely agree this is something to look into in more depth.
Right yeah, that makes sense.
I actually asked the same question as this research in my 2019 MA philosophy thesis and came to the informal conclusion that actions that moral disagreement about what is valuable + empirical uncertainty make it all very difficult: http://www.sieberozendal.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/Rozendal-S.T.-2019-Uncertainty-About-the-Expected-Moral-Value-of-the-Long-Term-Future.-MA-Thesis.pdf
You might find it interesting, though it’s much less formally sophisticated than your work :)