Note that this is particularly an argument about money. I think that there are important reasons to skew work towards scenarios where AI comes particularly soon, but I think it’s easier to get leverage over that as a researcher choosing what to work on (for instance doing short-term safety work with longer-term implications firmly in view) than as a funder.
I didn’t understand this part. Are you saying that funders can’t choose whether to fund short-term or long-term work (either because they can’t tell which is which, or there aren’t enough options to choose from)?
I’m saying that the ratio you can advance the different agendas as a funder versus as a researcher skews towards advancing short-term stuff as a researcher, because it’s less funding constrained (more talent constrained).
I didn’t understand this part. Are you saying that funders can’t choose whether to fund short-term or long-term work (either because they can’t tell which is which, or there aren’t enough options to choose from)?
I’m saying that the ratio you can advance the different agendas as a funder versus as a researcher skews towards advancing short-term stuff as a researcher, because it’s less funding constrained (more talent constrained).