I’m surprised you think that low, especially considering the President often will have been a Senator or Governor or top businessman before office, so the longer average term in Congress is not a big advantage.
I think I was leaning into making my guess sound surprising there, and I had in mind something closer to 100 than 30; it might have been better to represent it as “about 100” or “>50″ or something.
The fact that presidential terms are just 4 or 8 years does play into my thinking. For sure, they’ve typically done other meaningful stuff, but I don’t think that typically has such a high impact ratio as their years as president. I generated my ratio by querying my brain for snap judgements about how big a deal it would seem to have [some numbers of presidents] [do a thing over their career] vs [some fraction of congress].
Anyway I could certainly be wrong here. I think it’s possible I’m underestimating how big is the impact of having the mouthpiece of the presidency.
I’m surprised you think that low, especially considering the President often will have been a Senator or Governor or top businessman before office, so the longer average term in Congress is not a big advantage.
I think I was leaning into making my guess sound surprising there, and I had in mind something closer to 100 than 30; it might have been better to represent it as “about 100” or “>50″ or something.
The fact that presidential terms are just 4 or 8 years does play into my thinking. For sure, they’ve typically done other meaningful stuff, but I don’t think that typically has such a high impact ratio as their years as president. I generated my ratio by querying my brain for snap judgements about how big a deal it would seem to have [some numbers of presidents] [do a thing over their career] vs [some fraction of congress].
Anyway I could certainly be wrong here. I think it’s possible I’m underestimating how big is the impact of having the mouthpiece of the presidency.