As long as any of NTI’s effort is directed against intentional catastrophes, they’re still saving violent-psychology worlds disproportionately, so in principle this could swing the balance. That said, good point: much of their work should reduce the risk of accidental catastrophes as well, so maybe there’s not actually much difference between NTI and asteroid deflection.
(I won’t take a stand here about what counts as evidence for what, for fear that this will turn into a big decision theory debate :) )
As long as any of NTI’s effort is directed against intentional catastrophes, they’re still saving violent-psychology worlds disproportionately, so in principle this could swing the balance. That said, good point: much of their work should reduce the risk of accidental catastrophes as well, so maybe there’s not actually much difference between NTI and asteroid deflection.
(I won’t take a stand here about what counts as evidence for what, for fear that this will turn into a big decision theory debate :) )