tldr; 1. Interesting take that “there’s no indication that we’re headed in that direction anytime soon”. I think that is an individual decision that can’t be easily quantified and many of us think that we are well on our way in that direction. 2. As to “If we ever allow superintelligent AIs to compete in a truly Darwinian environment, [...] , that could become quite dangerous”, that statement rests on a false premise, as Darwinian AI competition is not predicated on humans “allowing” them to do that: it just happens when there are environmental or survival pressures.
Hello ion. Welcome to the EA Forum. On 1, I am open tobetsagainst short timelines for transformative AI (TAI), or what they supposedly imply, up to 10 k$. On 2, the environmental and survival pressures are to a significant extent established by humans, who are the ones setting up the training of AIs?
tldr; 1. Interesting take that “there’s no indication that we’re headed in that direction anytime soon”. I think that is an individual decision that can’t be easily quantified and many of us think that we are well on our way in that direction. 2. As to “If we ever allow superintelligent AIs to compete in a truly Darwinian environment, [...] , that could become quite dangerous”, that statement rests on a false premise, as Darwinian AI competition is not predicated on humans “allowing” them to do that: it just happens when there are environmental or survival pressures.
Hello ion. Welcome to the EA Forum. On 1, I am open to bets against short timelines for transformative AI (TAI), or what they supposedly imply, up to 10 k$. On 2, the environmental and survival pressures are to a significant extent established by humans, who are the ones setting up the training of AIs?