I’d probably add some things related to forecasting and maybe foresight, scenario planning, horizon scanning, and maybe red-teaming (of ideas).
I think you could this as similar to how you highlight the science-policy interface (likewise, forecasting should in theory be an important input into policymaking) or similar to how you and I respectively highlight risk+uncertainty and externalities+emerging tech (one distinctive thing about x-risk/GCR policy is how relevant forecasting etc is).
A related thing is “trying to act well in advance of a problem occurring or even its shape or importance being clear to most people”. One case study often mentioned in this context is Leo Szilard and nuclear weapons (e.g. here). See also https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/tag/long-range-forecasting One could in theory look into how often people have attempted to influence policy in that sort of way or on that sort of issue, when and how it’s gone well or poorly, etc.
I’d probably add some things related to forecasting and maybe foresight, scenario planning, horizon scanning, and maybe red-teaming (of ideas).
I think you could this as similar to how you highlight the science-policy interface (likewise, forecasting should in theory be an important input into policymaking) or similar to how you and I respectively highlight risk+uncertainty and externalities+emerging tech (one distinctive thing about x-risk/GCR policy is how relevant forecasting etc is).
A related thing is “trying to act well in advance of a problem occurring or even its shape or importance being clear to most people”. One case study often mentioned in this context is Leo Szilard and nuclear weapons (e.g. here). See also https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/tag/long-range-forecasting One could in theory look into how often people have attempted to influence policy in that sort of way or on that sort of issue, when and how it’s gone well or poorly, etc.