The Dunning-Kruger effect is real. But with a few basic sanity checks, I believe any thoughtful EA can determine whether itās imposter syndrome vs actual under-qualification.
If you have evidence to support your non-trivial investment in the areaāclasses, degrees, self-directed learning, projects, jobsāyou are probably at least qualified for an entry-level position in a given area.
Probably the easiest way to check is by asking an impartial 3rd party, like an 80kH Advisor, or even just someone who already has experience working in that field.
Note that this is heavily contested. A lot of the observed phenomenon in the studies (qualitatively: incompetent people thinking theyāre average, great people thinking theyāre only good) can be explained by ābetter than averageā effect + metrics not being perfect + natural mean regression.
And of course pop science accounts of Dunning-Kruger is even more unhinged than what D-K claimed.
My own best guess is that the claimed effect is real but small.
The Dunning-Kruger effect is real. But with a few basic sanity checks, I believe any thoughtful EA can determine whether itās imposter syndrome vs actual under-qualification.
If you have evidence to support your non-trivial investment in the areaāclasses, degrees, self-directed learning, projects, jobsāyou are probably at least qualified for an entry-level position in a given area.
Probably the easiest way to check is by asking an impartial 3rd party, like an 80kH Advisor, or even just someone who already has experience working in that field.
Note that this is heavily contested. A lot of the observed phenomenon in the studies (qualitatively: incompetent people thinking theyāre average, great people thinking theyāre only good) can be explained by ābetter than averageā effect + metrics not being perfect + natural mean regression.
And of course pop science accounts of Dunning-Kruger is even more unhinged than what D-K claimed.
My own best guess is that the claimed effect is real but small.
Me: āThe Dunning-Kruger effect is real.ā
Linch: āā¦the claimed effect is realā¦ā
Great to know that we are in agreement, Linch! The logical follow-up question is what other factor(s) has (have) a higher impact on the effect?
Interesting. Of course my point is independent of the D-K effect, although that would enhance it.
Iām not saying worse ppl are more. overconfident. Iām just saying āsome ppl are overconfident or overstatingā
Iām also suggesting to there may be a secular overstatement of abilities and accomplishments in some fields. Less so among EAs I suspect.